Experts have accused Russia of staging a false-flag operation to justify elevated mobilization, with a warning that extra such assaults may happen within the coming months.
“The alleged strike on Putin’s residence within the Kremlin is probably going a false flag operation orchestrated by Russian intelligence and safety companies and licensed by Putin himself,” Rebekah Koffler, strategic army intelligence analyst and former DIA intel officer, instructed Fox News Digital.
Russian authorities officers on Wednesday claimed that Ukrainian forces tried to kill President Vladimir Putin with a failed drone assault.
Video launched by Russian media confirmed a small explosion over the president’s residence on the Kremlin compound, which officers say have been assaults by two drones that have been disabled by protection methods, with no accidents or harm to the residence reported.
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Officials on Thursday then speculated that the U.S. might have been behind the alleged assault, with Russian presidential spokesperson Dmitry Peskov saying, “We know that usually it isn’t even Kyiv that determines the targets, however Washington.”
U.S. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby refuted the accusation, saying Peskov was “mendacity” about U.S. involvement and that Russia was making a “ludicrous declare.”

Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a gathering through video convention on the Novo-Ogaryovo residence exterior Moscow, Aug. 20, 2020. (Alexei Nikolsky, Sputnik, Kremlin Pool Photo through AP, File)
“The United States had nothing to do with this,” Kirby confused. “We do not even know precisely what occurred right here… however I can guarantee you the United States had no position in it by any means.”
“We neither encourage nor will we allow Ukraine to strike exterior Ukraine’s borders,” Kirby mentioned, including that the U.S. additionally doesn’t endorse strikes on particular person leaders, although he went on to name Putin the “aggressor” and urged the Russian chief to tug his troops out of Ukraine if he “actually desires to see safety on the continent,” Kirby instructed CNN.
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Intelligence consultants have been fast to reply, with a report from the Institute for the Study of War (IFSW) claiming that “Russia possible staged this assault in an try and convey the battle residence to a Russian home viewers.”
“Several indicators recommend that the strike was internally performed and purposefully staged,” the IFSW wrote. “Russian authorities have not too long ago taken steps to extend Russian home air protection capabilities, together with inside Moscow itself, and it’s subsequently extraordinarily unlikely that two drones may have penetrated a number of layers of air protection and detonated or been shot down simply over the guts of the Kremlin in a manner that offered spectacular imagery caught properly on digital camera.”

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov attends a joint information convention of Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in Moscow in February. (Sputnik/Sergey Guneev/Kremlin through Reuters)
“A strike that averted detection and destruction by such air protection belongings and succeeded in hitting as high-profile of a goal because the Kremlin Senate Palace could be a big embarrassment for Russia,” the IFSW added. “The Kremlin’s rapid, coherent and coordinated response to the incident means that the assault was internally ready in such a manner that its meant political results outweigh its embarrassment.”
“The Kremlin instantly accused Ukraine of conducting a terror assault, and Russian official responses coalesced quickly round this accusation,” the group concluded. “If the drone assault had not been internally staged it will have been a shock occasion,” citing the Kremlin’s failure to generate such “well timed and coherent” responses after the autumn of Balakilya and Kherson City in Ukraine final 12 months.

Russian President Vladimir Putin side-by-side with screenshot from the alleged assassination try by drones that occurred May 3, 2023. (AP/Ostorozhno Novosti)
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Koffler provided three hypotheses on why the Kremlin would look to stage a false-flag operation, together with the power to escalate the battle additional and to extend its mobilization efforts.
“The aim is two-fold: first, to offer justification to take the battle on the subsequent rung of the escalation ladder, i.e. to launch a large, doubtlessly decapitating strike on Kyiv, the seat of Ukraine’s authorities and Zelenskyy’s residence,” Koffler defined.

Firefighters work to extinguish a blaze after a Russian assault on house buildings within the city of Uman, about 125 miles south of Kiev, Ukraine, April 28, 2023. (National Police of Ukraine through AP)
“Second, to justify future mobilization effort in Russia wanted for the protracted battle of attrition in Ukraine and rally the entire Russian inhabitants, together with the small portion which might be towards the battle, behind Putin,” she added.
“Putin’s message to the Russians is that Ukraine has struck on the very coronary heart of Russia itself and everybody must be able to go battle to ‘repel’ the aggressor, which is Ukraine and the U.S. supporting it. Classic Putin’s playbook.”
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The IFSW famous that “some Russian nationalist” army bloggers “seized on the Kremlin drone strike to name for Russian escalation” regardless of the nation’s lack of ability to hold out an additional mobilization effort.
“This sect of milbloggers emphasised their very own embarrassment on the Kremlin strike, evaluating it to the humiliation of a single German civilian pilot touchdown a small plane close to the Kremlin in 1987,” the IFSW mentioned. “These milbloggers largely advocated towards retaliatory army escalation on the grounds that this strike doesn’t change the operational or strategic state of affairs within the battle, as an alternative calling for a cautious response whereas acknowledging the sting of embarrassment over the strike.”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited troops within the Donetsk area, Tuesday, April 18, 2023. (Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense)
More worrying, the IFSW warned that the Kremlin might plan to hold out different false-flag operations and “enhance disinformation” forward of a deliberate Ukrainian counteroffensive to “enhance home assist for the battle.”
Military analysts assume Ukraine is focusing on provide traces within the Russian rear whereas gearing up for a attainable counteroffensive amid bettering climate situations and because it receives massive quantities of weapons and ammunition from its Western allies.
In anticipation of a Ukrainian counteroffensive, Russian forces are centered on destroying logistical routes and facilities of Ukraine’s armed forces with long-range strikes, Kyiv army officers say.
Fox News Digital’s Timothy H.J. Nerozzi and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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